Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 2.953991 3.409695 3.913494 4.512001 5.204001 5.979421 6.914934
2024-11-03 2.396996 3.005650 3.736602 4.680061 5.867280 7.314080 9.214949
2024-11-10 2.037872 2.746731 3.661813 4.931986 6.653757 8.912959 12.113624
2024-11-17 1.715434 2.466104 3.499780 5.031172 7.250494 10.362949 15.083253
2024-11-24 1.445173 2.201959 3.306589 5.042556 7.715592 11.698152 18.125101
2024-12-01 1.189105 1.909681 3.018460 4.856853 7.848126 12.557483 20.601283
2024-12-08 0.983832 1.657765 2.745997 4.641073 7.884615 13.256557 22.924813
2024-12-15 0.872601 1.537938 2.661917 4.711504 8.390400 14.781113 26.865010
2024-12-22 0.751480 1.380529 2.488431 4.596628 8.551181 15.731586 29.946378
2024-12-29 0.705275 1.348175 2.526656 4.862888 9.435027 18.098561 36.026912
2025-01-05 0.651431 1.292534 2.512646 5.026338 10.146143 20.245417 42.038636
2025-01-12 0.589499 1.211308 2.437160 5.055870 10.594062 21.941054 47.415514
2025-01-19 0.504335 1.073302 2.235340 4.809757 10.464241 22.500642 50.623948
2025-01-26 0.473311 1.043303 2.249430 5.021017 11.344645 25.333175 59.361196
2025-02-02 0.451553 1.029913 2.296650 5.313017 12.455248 28.859071 70.366035
2025-02-09 0.418462 0.985921 2.270192 5.433826 13.194575 31.669615 80.213112
2025-02-16 0.382280 0.929037 2.205839 5.454899 13.700177 34.015705 89.364600
2025-02-23 0.337163 0.843702 2.062070 5.259054 13.636674 34.961759 95.092338
2025-03-02 0.296075 0.761855 1.914273 5.028284 13.443040 35.542002 99.944615
2025-03-09 0.276082 0.730572 1.887367 5.106770 14.079266 38.395393 111.656064
2025-03-16 0.248506 0.675219 1.790788 4.983344 14.145279 39.726034 119.270258
2025-03-23 0.242053 0.675752 1.841152 5.273301 15.423621 44.646598 138.522772
2025-03-30 0.231098 0.662149 1.851354 5.451373 16.410587 48.907424 156.627212